August 24, 2026Risk-OnMedium Conviction

Daily Macro Risk Pulse

Crypto is leading a broad risk-on impulse with BTC +23% and ETH +31% on the week, but rising 10Y yields at 4.74% and a VIX uptick to 15.91 signal the rally is borrowing from future duration risk.

BTC$77,876+1.5%

ETH$2,476+2.6%

SOL$94.85+1.2%

Fear & Greed73Greed

VIX15.91+5.2%

DXY98.97+0.2%

US 10Y4.740%+0.9%

Gold$4,704+1.7%

Oil (WTI)$85.08-2.3%

S&P 5007,674+0.4%

RegimeRisk-On

ConvictionMedium

Analysis

Crypto Surges on Broadest Weekly Rally in Months

BTC is up 23.1% on the week to $77,886 while ETH outperforms at +30.8%, and XRP leads the complex at +49.2% 7d. This breadth — with SOL +26%, DOGE +31%, BCH +33% all participating — points to a genuine regime shift rather than a single-name squeeze. Fear & Greed at 73 (Greed) is elevated but not yet at euphoric extremes that typically precede mean-reversion. BTC dominance at 59.4% is notably not expanding despite BTC strength, suggesting risk appetite is flowing down the cap spectrum. Portfolio implication: maintain overweight crypto beta but begin scaling into hedges above F&G 80.

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