August 11, 2026MixedMedium Conviction

Daily Macro Risk Pulse

Rising long-end yields and gold simultaneously signal inflation-repricing fears that are compressing crypto risk appetite despite equity markets holding near highs.

BTC$64,212-1.2%

ETH$1,884-1.8%

SOL$75.88-0.9%

Fear & Greed29Fear

VIX15.53+0.5%

DXY99.87+0.1%

US 10Y4.700%+0.8%

Gold$4,432+1.6%

Oil (WTI)$84.12+2.4%

S&P 5007,753-0.1%

RegimeMixed

ConvictionMedium

Analysis

10Y at 4.70% While Gold Surges — Stagflation Signal

US10Y rose 84bps (percentage change) to 4.70% while gold surged 1.60% to $4,431.50 — a rare simultaneous move that reflects real-rate confusion and inflation hedging demand. The 98bp 2s10s steepening (4.70% vs 3.72%) indicates term premium expansion rather than growth optimism. This combination historically compresses duration-sensitive risk assets including tech and crypto, and argues for real-asset overweights.

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Cross-asset analysis (4 sections)
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