May 25, 2026MixedMedium Conviction

Daily Macro Risk Pulse

Crypto consolidation at high levels with 60% BTC dominance signals institutional preference for safety within risk assets amid macro cross-currents.

BTC$77,445+0.4%

ETH$2,114-0.4%

SOL$85.88-0.5%

Fear & Greed30Fear

VIX16.66-0.2%

DXY98.99-0.3%

US 10Y4.560%-0.6%

Gold$4,523+0.1%

Oil (WTI)$96.60+0.0%

S&P 5007,473+0.4%

RegimeMixed

ConvictionMedium

Analysis

Yield Curve Steepening Signals Policy Pivot Expectations

10Y yields dropped 61bps to 4.56% while 2Y rose 8bps to 3.59%, creating the steepest curve in months. This steepening typically precedes Fed easing cycles and benefits duration-sensitive tech equities. The move suggests markets are pricing reduced terminal rate expectations despite persistent inflation concerns.

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