May 13, 2026TransitionalMedium Conviction

Daily Macro Risk Pulse

Rates backup (10Y +1.20% to 4.46%) amid DXY strength signals Fed pivot reassessment, with crypto stabilizing but equity growth under pressure.

BTC$81,010+0.4%

ETH$2,311+1.0%

SOL$95.17-0.2%

Fear & Greed42Fear

VIX17.93-0.3%

DXY98.53+0.3%

US 10Y4.460%+1.2%

Gold$4,708+0.7%

Oil (WTI)$101.73-0.4%

S&P 5007,401-0.2%

RegimeTransitional

ConvictionMedium

Analysis

Bond Selloff Intensifies Fed Pivot Doubts

10-year yields spiked 5.3 basis points to 4.46% (+1.20%), the sharpest single-day move in weeks, while DXY gained 0.25% to 98.53. This suggests markets are repricing terminal rate expectations higher, potentially derailing the dovish narrative that supported risk assets through Q1. Duration-sensitive growth equities remain most vulnerable to this shift.

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