April 30, 2026MixedMedium Conviction

Daily Macro Risk Pulse

Risk assets are diverging as bonds weaken on sticky inflation concerns while crypto faces technical pressure despite dollar softness.

BTC$75,968-2.4%

ETH$2,257-3.7%

SOL$82.95-2.9%

Fear & Greed29Fear

VIX18.31-2.7%

DXY98.68-0.2%

US 10Y4.420%+1.5%

Gold$4,641+2.1%

Oil (WTI)$106.83-0.1%

S&P 5007,136-0.0%

RegimeMixed

ConvictionMedium

Analysis

10Y Yield Surge Signals Inflation Persistence

US10Y jumped 6.5bp to 4.42% while 2Y remained flat at 3.59%, steepening the curve by 83bp. This suggests markets are pricing in prolonged inflation pressures rather than near-term Fed easing. Gold's +2.11% rally to $4,641 confirms real rate concerns are driving haven flows.

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Cross-asset analysis (4 sections)
Thematic Outlook — Constructive, Cautious, Monitoring, Key Risk
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