April 03, 2026MixedMedium Conviction

Daily Macro Risk Pulse

Oil's 11.4% surge is dominating macro flows while crypto's extreme fear reading at 9 suggests maximum bearish positioning despite modest green tape.

BTC$66,793+0.7%

ETH$2,057+1.0%

SOL$80.02+1.3%

Fear & Greed9Extreme Fear

VIX23.87-2.7%

DXY99.98-0.1%

US 10Y4.310%-0.1%

Gold$4,652-2.8%

Oil (WTI)$111.54+11.4%

S&P 5006,583+0.1%

RegimeMixed

ConvictionMedium

Analysis

Oil Shock Dominates Cross-Asset Flows

WTI's +11.4% spike to $111.54 is the primary macro driver, likely geopolitical in nature. This inflationary shock explains gold's -2.75% decline as real rates rise, while equities remain surprisingly resilient with SPX only +0.11%. Energy-driven stagflation risks are emerging as the dominant regime driver.

Subscribe to read the full edition

Cross-asset analysis (4 sections)
Thematic Outlook — Constructive, Cautious, Monitoring, Key Risk
Live Book Positioning — conviction scores, instrument views, entry context

Pro$19/mo$179/year (save 21%)

Core$79/mo$790/year

Already subscribed?

Backed by a live system with a 2.32 profit factor across 37 instruments.

See a sample edition →

For informational and educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Full disclaimer →