March 26, 2026Risk-OffHigh Conviction

Daily Macro Risk Pulse

Sharp yield curve steepening with 10Y jumping 1.34% to 4.39% while VIX spikes 6.55% signals monetary tightening fears are overwhelming risk assets globally.

BTC$68,936-3.7%

ETH$2,067-5.0%

SOL$87.55-5.0%

Fear & Greed10Extreme Fear

VIX26.99+6.5%

DXY99.86+0.3%

US 10Y4.390%+1.3%

Gold$4,421-2.8%

Oil (WTI)$94.55+4.7%

S&P 5006,520-1.1%

RegimeRisk-Off

ConvictionHigh

Analysis

Yield Curve Steepening Signals Tightening Fears

10Y yields spiking 1.34% to 4.39% while 2Y fell 0.14% creates the sharpest steepening move in months. This term structure shift typically precedes Fed hawkishness or inflation concerns. Tech-heavy NDX down 1.41% vs SPX's 1.09% confirms duration sensitivity is driving the selloff across risk assets.

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